Have these two days been screened by the "Mufu Fengyun Grand Drama"? Mr. Mu as a "good Chinese chess piece" in Yiwu, I am full of expectations for his future, and people should constantly improve the value of being used by others. Mr. Mu and Xiaomi are both named, but they are called the price butcher, but no matter how the outside world vomits, I am full of confidence in him, nothing, purely a man's sixth sense. However, given that Yiwu's new way of attracting investment is a bit deep, I am timid enough to talk about the control of intelligent lighting that few people care about recently. After all, the concern for the product itself is far better than the wonderful commercial drama, and it will not be lost to the "famous name" of my "product control."
Closer to home.
A few days ago, at the China LED Lighting Forum held in Shanghai, Sunshine Lighting CEO Guan Yong expressed a strong pessimism about the status quo and future of intelligent lighting. Wang Micheng, the boss of Hongyan Electric, a smart lighting company that is optimistic about the industry, was very excited when he sat in the audience. In his circle of friends, Mr. Wang said that the confusion and pessimism mentioned by the Chief Executive is exactly the subject of the system that Hongyan has solved in the past two years. He himself has shown great optimism about intelligent lighting.
So, what did Guan Yong say to make Wang Micheng excited?
1. In the past 20 years, the overall lighting control system has not been successful.
It turned out that at the meeting, Guan Yong said with sincerity that "the lighting control business can not achieve the second round of LED growth. In the past 20 years, the lighting control system has not been successful in general, because there is no explosive demand in the market and enterprises. Explosive growth, and the main reasons are:
1. The technology is complex, there is no standardization and generalization. For example, Bunge and Lutron, which are relatively well-made, have their own control protocols and application software solutions. The professional engineering trend is obvious, but it cannot be enlarged.
2, the light control does not just need to experience, if only the switch bright energy-saving control, the current building control system can be easily realized, the light control is redundant.
3. Even if there is an explosive demand in the future, it must be a “simple generalization†in the wireless control scheme instead of the wired process. This is still difficult in the B2B business application field, but in the B2C home application, with the definition of the market The emergence of Internet companies is likely to occur.
4, LED light source and the lamp itself is digital, the signal docking with the weak point control system is simpler than the traditional gas discharge light source, and the power is much lower.
5. In summary, the professional complexity of the lighting control system will inevitably decrease in the future, which means that Philips, Bunge, ABB and Legrand will face new thinking and challenges, such as intelligent lighting control system company or control system. The lighting company is a content operating company that controls the system software and hardware products company or does the control service? This is a problem.
Although the official speech of the PPT is too beautiful, I can't bear to look straight, but if I look carefully, I still have to send a "like" to the contents. After the monks read it, they were refreshed from head to toe. There are not many entrepreneurs who can tell such a big truth. Although it is not known whether Wang Micheng can resolve his pessimism with his own optimism, I want to stand on the perspective of ordinary consumers and talk about why I agree with Guan Yong’s "unsuccessful light control."
Second, voice control, mobile phone control, gesture control is not as good as Beijing 瘫 "control"
In fact, the expression of Guan Yong is still kind. According to the understanding of the deaf, the light control is not only unsuccessful, but failed. It is pseudo-intelligence and anti-human. (Can blame me too young...)
Today, the biggest xue question for smart lighting is control and discoloration. Voice control, mobile phone control, gesture control; red, blue, 16 million colors... all kinds of seemingly sincere real routines, it seems that the upgrade is actually changing the appearance of the soup. Is the implementation technology behind it important? It may be important, but more importantly, the underlying logic is wrong with the product design.
If the lighting is colorful and the propaganda advantage, it will not be described here. It is suitable for the stage and is not suitable for life. Just talking about it, even if it’s a cliché, it’s no longer fresh, but it’s worth mentioning again – “control.†It’s true feelings of fried rice, and you have the final say after reading it.
Give a simple example. Recently I changed my city job and rented a new house. Although there is no perfect intelligent lighting system function in the house, the “automatic sensor light†on the aisle in the house is also called “smart light†which has been widely publicized by manufacturers. "--people come to light, people go out of the light. When I entered the house for the first time, it suddenly lit up, as if I was warmly welcoming its new owner, but it was a little happy. But then it worked hard, we blocked it - people came to light, but people went out of the light and turned on and off, so repeated and repeated times, during this period also issued a "tick and ticking" sound, the key is that you are fundamental Uncontrollable it is maddening.
Of course, this example is not very appropriate, because there is a distress caused by "product instability." But this case illustrates one point: the user is lazy and very afraid of trouble, just wants "Beijing 瘫". If the user has lived for so many years, the switch on the wall is enough and smooth, why should I open my mouth? Why should I unlock the phone? Why do I have to gesture more?
My engineering colleague said it is simpler and more rude:
Mobile phone control lights? Don't you think that it is more convenient and quick to click on the wall?
Voice control? You don't think anyone is at home, suddenly said loudly: Turn on the lights! Are you stupid?
Remote control lights? People who often can't find TV remotes say they want to burst...
Mobile APP control lights? Unlock, open APP, find buttons... heart is tired...
A few days ago, an interesting news said that the technology behind the hot Pokemon Go could make smart lighting smarter in the future. The scene is like this - people wearing special goggles or other glasses can use gestures to control the lighting panel and change the lighting settings. And a general manager of Cisco Roland Trollope also stood up and said: "I would rather control by just looking at these things."
For this, I don't know what role VR/AR will play in life in the future, but I can wear one more thing to achieve the goal, which is no different from the previous control method.
However, now there is a kind of control like this: after the mobile phone preset system, no longer rely on the mobile phone, this remote control can be attached to the wall, table, door, etc., tapping around the remote control twice to achieve the switch purpose. Even children who are not tall enough, old people in wheelchairs, and night-time people who are black at night are quite reasonable. However, from the perspective of cost performance, it is not known whether this comfort level is improved, and whether the technology behind it and the price match. In this way, the first feeling of the tipping point is not enough, but it has been regarded as a relatively innovative control method so far.
Third, the light control does not just need to experience, and the sense of presence is redundant.
Hey, a lot, seeing here, I must have a big question mark in my heart: Don’t say these imaginary words, you say, what is true smart lighting?
No one in this world can answer it, but if you ask whether the above control is "smart", I can only look at you and shake your head. In addition, if you ask the mobile phone control or wall control, which one do you want? I can only answer: As a person who has been used to wall control for decades, this does not bring me the discomfort to seek change.
So, don't expect to know what they need from users, they don't know, but they can give consumers Yes or No options.
To put it bluntly, it doesn't matter how the lighting control feels. Going back to the opening section, I understand the main point of Guan Yong as a summary: the light control does not have to be experienced. If it is only the switch to light energy control, the light control is redundant, and the lighting control business cannot achieve the second round of LED growth.
However, it must be stated that what is pointed out here is only the "control problem" of the existing intelligent lighting. If you want to reform the lighting from "control", please think twice. But it does not mean that I veto the future of smart lighting.
Is intelligent lighting a false proposition? “It’s totally impossible to make a long road ahead and create opportunities for innovation.†I will not say this.
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